Following the conclusion of the final phase of polling for the 294-seat West Bengal Assembly on April 29, 2026, various exit polls have projected a fiercely contested race, with several agencies suggesting a potential majority for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP). While the magic number to form the government stands at 148, initial surveys like those from Matrize and Praja Poll indicate that the BJP could secure between 146 and 208 seats, potentially ending the 15-year reign of the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC). However, the predictions remain divided; some pollsters, such as People's Pulse, continue to give a decisive edge to the TMC alliance with projections of up to 187 seats.
Given that many exit polls significantly underestimated the TMC's performance in the 2021 elections, both major parties remain cautious as they await the official results to be declared on May 4.
